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Originally posted by Bill in SD, CA I'm afraid that, in a last ditch act of lunacy, he may try to turn this into Arab - Israeli conflict by launching on Israel first. I have grave doubts that the U.S. will be able to restrain Israel if they get hit by WMDs this time around. |
Israel is too smart for that. Israel exercised restraint the last time Saddam launched a scud their way in an attempt to draw them into a war. Unless it looks like the US and its allies aren't getting the job done I think Israel will lay low to avoid escalating the war. If Israel gets involved that would likely draw Syria, Lebanon, etc and maybe even Egypt and Iran into the war. If the coalition gets their hands tied with more than Iraq in the Middle East then we can expect N. Korea to draw us into a war on a second front. It would get real ugly and I’m sure Israel knows that.
I really think this will be a “wham, bam, thank you Saddam” deal that is over within a few weeks. Maybe a few months tops. The loss of life will be proportional to Saddam’s stupidity. Saddam’s best bet is to not do anything and play the victim, and hope the anti-war wussies can muster enough support to make the US out to be the bad guys and convince the UN that Iraq should maintain it’s current sovereignty and government. It’s a long shot, but better than his odds of winning a war.